November 18, 2017
Let’s not get too bent out of shape about the US Treasury yield curve. The steepness of the curve, as often measured by looking at…
November 10, 2017
The US Senate released their version of tax reform this week and it shows some, but not perfect, alignment with the House version released…
November 06, 2017
President Trump nominated current Fed Governor Jerome Powell to be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve when Janet Yellen’s term ends in January 2018. …
October 27, 2017
Despite expected disruption to US GDP growth in Q3 from hurricanes hitting Texas and Florida, the economy posted an above-consensus annualized growth rate…
October 14, 2017
It is said that markets climb a wall of worry. That certainly feels true this year as the wall seems ever extending higher and the…
September 29, 2017
It’s impossible to say. This week’s major macroeconomic news in the United States was the release of an outline for the widest sweeping tax…
September 15, 2017
It’s all under control. That is what Chinese regulators are thinking as they release plans to halt exchange-trading of the cryptocurrency bitcoin. This is in…
September 01, 2017
This time is different. Four little words that are often the most dangerous in finance. Though the same can be applied when thinking about generational change. The so-called Millennials were said to be different than their parents. The group of people currently aged between 18 and 34 years old are not materialistic like their mothers and fathers.
August 19, 2017
Money is defined by its purpose. Money acts as a unit of account (it can be counted), a medium of exchange (it is accepted in trade for goods and services), and a store of value (what it will trade for stays stable). Nothing says that money must be backed by a sovereign promise like the paper currencies we think of as “real” money today (US Dollar, British Pound, Japanese Yen and so forth).
August 11, 2017
There is an eerie quiet in the market. Domestic politics in the US continues to flail on healthcare much less being able to start tax reform and faces a possible government shutdown and a debt ceiling. Meanwhile the Federal Reserve is poised to shrink their balance sheet while inflation is subdued.
July 28, 2017
So far so good. We are in the midst of second quarter earnings reports in the US and so far good numbers are showing up….
July 20, 2017
Let’s get to work. Friday’s US jobs report showed a gain of 222,000 jobs added in the month of June which was better than…
June 30, 2017
No fireworks this week. As everyone in the US gears up for a holiday weekend, the feel of summer is upon the markets as…
June 23, 2017
Welcome to the party. The big news this week is the addition of just over 200 stocks listed in the Chinese “A share” market (the…
June 15, 2017
Global central banks are not short on confidence.
June 09, 2017
Things can get hung up in a snap. That is probably what UK Prime Minister Theresa May is thinking.
May 30, 2017
The Federal Reserve released the minutes from their most recent meeting this week. In it was an answer to a question that has lingered over the market for some time – what to do with the $4.5 trillion of securities residing on their balance sheet after years of expansive monetary policy.
May 19, 2017
Well, isn’t that a peach? Impeach. That is the word that has been on the lips of those in Washington D.C. and blasted across media outlets.
May 05, 2017
It’s only temporary. That’s the opinion of Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen of the poor first quarter GDP growth in the United States.
April 28, 2017
Perhaps the market sentiment that global trade was going to come to a halt was a bit premature. Many feared that the US would withdraw from all trade arrangements with its major trading partners.
April 17, 2017
Just when President Trump starts to move towards status quo, things start to get hairy.
March 27, 2017
So much of the market’s expectations for “reflation” in the economy is based upon the premise that a White House and Congress dominated by Republicans could work together to quickly pass legislation.
March 17, 2017
While there are many things going on around the world (the Dutch election in which the Euro-skeptic party won fewer than expected seats, the dovish read on the Federal Reserve after the expected rate hike, the no-action from the central banks in England, Japan, and Norway, etc), it is time for a little break.
March 10, 2017
The upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve on March 14-15 has been the most telegraphed policy meeting in recent memory.
February 24, 2017
Don’t count out the Fed. With all the emphasis on the new administration’s fiscal policy, the release of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes this week came with little fanfare.
February 03, 2017
You can tell when the narrative has changed. Rewind to this time last year.
January 30, 2017
Perhaps President Trump is listening to the 1981 hit album from Olivia Newton-John Physical this week as he continues to press on the fiscal button.
January 13, 2017
President-elect Trump remains central in decision for businesses and investors alike.
January 03, 2017
Confidence is high at the end of 2016.
December 23, 2016
It’s a gift. Just a little extra before the start of the New Year.
December 01, 2016
In case you were wondering, that is how you pronounce the last name of President-elect’s pick for the U.S. Treasury post.
November 28, 2016
We give thanks for much including a parking spot at the mall.
November 21, 2016
The US Dollar is reaching levels last seen at the end of 2002.
November 11, 2016
Is the world upside down?
October 14, 2016
It’s a world of possibility out there. We have to keep both our eyes and our minds open for it.
October 07, 2016
Liquidity, liquidity everywhere except for the foreign exchange market in Asian trading hours overnight. That might seem like an obscure statement, but it has market moving consequences when combined with computer-driven trading programs.
September 30, 2016
This week OPEC surprised markets by taking action, supposedly. Reports indicate that a production cap has been set at 32.5mm barrels of production from the cartel responsible for about 40% of global supply.
September 23, 2016
With all the Fed chatter, not much has been said about the communication from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) this week.
September 21, 2016
Today’s decision puts the U.S. Federal Reserve clearly in the “extend and pretend” camp.