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Category Archives: Quarterly Outlooks

Q2 2017 Quarterly Outlook

Q2 2017 Quarterly Outlook

In recent years, at our internal research meetings, we have discussed when the US economy would experience the later innings of the business cycle, and whether we would see the classic signposts that denoted the end of prior cycles. Our concern was that the longest running experiment in monetary policy would extend the low growth economy indefinitely, never getting too hot or too cold, but overshadowed by a consumer or business cycle that never really got going.

Q4 2016 Quarterly Outlook

Q4 2016 Quarterly Outlook

The Wall Street expression that “markets climb a wall of worry” was certainly true during the third quarter. Despite Brexit, the opening of a contentious U.S. presidential election, a spike in interest rates, scattered police and racial violence, and another quarter of negative earnings growth, broad equity markets turned in one of the stronger third quarter performances in recent years.

Q1 2016 – Quarterly Outlook

Q1 2016 – Quarterly Outlook

Despite the weak start to the year, we remind investors that sentiment can dictate short-term performance, but fundamentals are ultimately responsible for long-term returns. In the accompanying slides, we highlight opportunities for 2016.

Q4 2015 Outlook- Stick to the Plan

Q4 2015 Outlook- Stick to the Plan

Stick to the Plan Former heavyweight boxing champion Mike Tyson once said, “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face.”  While we do not usually look to professional boxers for their wisdom, the words ring true in many contexts including the financial markets. The 3rd quarter of 2015 ended up as one

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