Geopolitics Heat Up

Category: Market Updates

154 posts categorized as "Market Updates"

Geopolitics Heat Up

Just when President Trump starts to move towards status quo, things start to get hairy.

Republicans Get A Health Check

So much of the market’s expectations for “reflation” in the economy is based upon the premise that a White House and Congress dominated by Republicans could work together to quickly pass legislation.

It’s Sheer Madness

While there are many things going on around the world (the Dutch election in which the Euro-skeptic party won fewer than expected seats, the dovish read on the Federal Reserve after the expected rate hike, the no-action from the central banks in England, Japan, and Norway, etc), it is time for a little break.

Let There Be No Doubt

The upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve on March 14-15 has been the most telegraphed policy meeting in recent memory.

Don’t Count Out The Fed

Don’t count out the Fed. With all the emphasis on the new administration’s fiscal policy, the release of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes this week came with little fanfare.

We Stand In the Great Divide

Talk about a split.

The Fed has been Trumped

You can tell when the narrative has changed. Rewind to this time last year.

Let’s Get Fis-cal, Fis-cal

Perhaps President Trump is listening to the 1981 hit album from Olivia Newton-John Physical this week as he continues to press on the fiscal button.

Trump Stays Center Stage

President-elect Trump remains central in decision for businesses and investors alike.

Hopeful For The Young In 2017

Confidence is high at the end of 2016.

Hoping For A Gift That Keeps Giving

It’s a gift. Just a little extra before the start of the New Year.

Men-Ew-Chin

In case you were wondering, that is how you pronounce the last name of President-elect’s pick for the U.S. Treasury post.

We Give Thanks For Much

We give thanks for much including a parking spot at the mall.

The Greenback Is Rising!

The US Dollar is reaching levels last seen at the end of 2002.

Landing On Your Feet When The World Seems Upside Down

Is the world upside down?

It’s a World of Possibility Out There

It’s a world of possibility out there. We have to keep both our eyes and our minds open for it.

The Pound Takes a Dive When the Water Level Was Low

Liquidity, liquidity everywhere except for the foreign exchange market in Asian trading hours overnight. That might seem like an obscure statement, but it has market moving consequences when combined with computer-driven trading programs.

OPEC Makes A Deal To Make A Deal

This week OPEC surprised markets by taking action, supposedly. Reports indicate that a production cap has been set at 32.5mm barrels of production from the cartel responsible for about 40% of global supply.

It’s The End Of QE As We Know It… In Japan.

With all the Fed chatter, not much has been said about the communication from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) this week.

The Fed Extends And Pretends

Today’s decision puts the U.S. Federal Reserve clearly in the “extend and pretend” camp.

Are We There Yet?

The market sits and waits for next week as the Fed meeting approaches. Will they or won’t they?

Is The Kitchen Still Open For Policy Support?

Rhetoric continues to indicate that policymakers are trying to serve up economic growth on a plate and convince the markets that the kitchen is still open.

Guessing Games Are Every Economist’s Cup of Tea

It seems that guessing games are every economist’s cup of tea these days.

Meet Me In The Middle

An analysis released this week by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York indicated that middle income jobs (those paying between $30,000 and $60,000 per year) are finally being created.

Emerging Market Stocks Are Taking The Gold

…for the first time in a while.

The Bank of England cuts, Europe hovers, and the U.S. gets to work.

Is the divergence getting even greater? This week, the Bank of England (BoE) responded as expected with additional support after the Brexit vote in June weakened their economic stability.

We Need A Little More Pep In Our Economic Step!

The first release of estimates for second quarter economic growth was made in both the US and Euro-area, both to the disappointing side.

If You Miss A Day, You Can Miss A Lot

Every day this week had a top headline that is directly relevant to the market narrative at hand- some positive, some tragic.

Does It Count?

What would appear to be a “blowout” employment report in the US on Friday created a favorable environment for risk assets, but carried with it a footnote.

Don’t Delude Yourself

The story does not end here. After the tumult unleashed last Friday with the UK referendum indicating a desire to exit from the European Union, the financial markets experienced more gyrations.

“Should I Stay Or Should I Go Now?”

…. If I go there will be trouble, and if I stay it will be double.” The lyrics from this aptly named song “Should I Stay or Should I Go” released in 1982 by the English rock band The Clash might as well be the theme of the markets this week.

Twitter Can’t Pay For That Kind of Advertising

You know we are in a different media world when newspapers and television news channels alike are filling their content void with discussion on this week’s iconic tweets.

People Are People

We all know that people (and markets) tend to have short memories and, thus, repeat the mistakes of the past. But are we already back there again?

It’s Been A Crude Story This Week

Oil prices hit the $50 mark after almost doubling from near $27 per barrel earlier this year in February.

Boo! Yellen spooks the bond market

The US Fed spooked markets a bit this week when the minutes from their latest meeting suggested that perhaps June is on the table for the next Fed hike.

America has got gas. Lots of it.

According to the most recent U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), natural gas inventories were 49% higher than a year earlier and 47% higher than the previous five year (2011-2015) average.

Bland May Be Best, For Now.

Does the market think bland is best?

In With A Bang And Out With A Whimper

That is how the expectations for US economic activity went in the first quarter….again.

The two-edged sword swings back to Saudi Arabia

The proverbial sword cuts both ways.

What Is Right Is Not Always Popular

You can feel it around the world – people are mad.