Weekly Update – 9/26/2014

Macro Outlook

The new Apple iPhone is not the only thing that got bent out of shape this week. For what seemed like little truly market moving information, equity markets decided that it was time for a tumble. Sure, jobless claims in the US rose a bit, Russian strains continued to be present, and Japanese inflation fell calling into question how much Abenomics has really done. But for the most part, those issues have been in the market for some time and we did not see any change in fundamental outlook from any of them (as of yet). So far in September, anything rate sensitive, energy-related, or smaller in capitalization seems to be taking the brunt. Overall, we see little fundamental change in our outlook that materially changes our opinion. Instead, there is likely some degree of psychology at play. With equity indices in the US reaching new highs earlier this month, there is a mind block of why equities can go higher. While the price level may be reaching new highs, valuations are not. While P/E multiples in the US remain healthy, they remain the most attractive source of long-term total return and cash flow (current yield and growing) relative to fixed income. Thus, we continue to view any weakness in the equity market broadly as an opportunity. So far, the downtick has been minor in the long-term scheme so we are being patient.

The opinions expressed herein are those of Edge Capital Group (“Edge”) and the report is not meant as legal, tax or financial advice. The projections or other information generated by this report regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results.  You should consult your own professional advisors as to the legal, tax, or other matters relevant to the suitability of potential investments. The external data presented in this report have been obtained from independent sources (as noted) and are believed to be accurate, but no independent verification has been made and accuracy is not guaranteed.